Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Arsenal0 - 2Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Arsenal suffer a setback in their Premier League title bid after they concede two late goals to lose 2-0 to Aston Villa at the Emirates.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa at the Emirates.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Bayern
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Lille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
67.29% ( -0.21) | 18.34% ( 0.15) | 14.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.38% ( -0.58) | 36.62% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.22% ( -0.63) | 58.78% ( 0.64) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.97% ( -0.2) | 10.02% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.92% ( -0.48) | 33.08% ( 0.49) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.94% ( -0.28) | 38.05% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.18% ( -0.28) | 74.82% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Arsenal 67.29%
Aston Villa 14.37%
Draw 18.34%
| Arsenal | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.05% Total : 67.29% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.37% |
How you voted: Arsenal vs Aston Villa
Arsenal
72.8%Draw
17.5%Aston Villa
9.7%206
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
2-4
Arsenal
Aug 31, 2022 7.30pm
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal
3-1
Aston Villa
Form Guide
Build-up
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