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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Luton
2 - 3
Aston Villa

Chong (66'), Morris (72')
Burke (38')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Watkins (24', 38'), Digne (89')
Bailey (45+5'), Luiz (45'), Rogers (50'), Zaniolo (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Lucas Digne scores an 89th-minute winner as Aston Villa record a 3-2 victory over Luton Town in Saturday's Premier League clash at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawAston Villa
19.28% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 20.3% (-0.175 -0.18) 60.41% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.56 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (0.76900000000001 0.77)36.6% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.832 0.83)58.75% (-0.83600000000001 -0.84)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.407 0.41)32.32% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.458 0.46)68.82% (-0.46300000000001 -0.46)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.21% (0.29499999999999 0.29)11.79% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.01% (0.634 0.63)36.99% (-0.638 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 19.28%
    Aston Villa 60.41%
    Draw 20.3%
Luton TownDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 5.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.3% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.43% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.28%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 7.01% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 6.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.96% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.75% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 3.32% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.12% (0.066 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.6% (0.052 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.03 0.03)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 60.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Aston Villa

Luton Town
13.1%
Draw
13.1%
Aston Villa
73.7%
213
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
3-1
Luton
McGinn (17'), Diaby (49'), Lockyer (62' og.)
Zaniolo (28'), Cash (51'), Kamara (71')
Martinez (83' og.)
Kabore (53'), Doughty (75')
Aug 10, 2016 7.45pm
Round One
Luton
3-1
Aston Villa
Gray (35'), McGeehan (53'), Okore (66' og.)
Lee (80'), Hylton (90')
Ayew (13')
McCormack (17'), Ayew (43')
Jul 23, 2013 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
2-0
Aston Villa
Shaw (23'), Howells (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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