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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Aston Villa
4 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Watkins (4'), Luiz (29', 39'), Bailey (61')
Moreno (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Niakhate (45+5'), Gibbs-White (48')
Murillo (15'), Felipe (45')

The Match

Match Report

A brace from Douglas Luiz in between goals from Ollie Watkins and Leon Bailey saw Aston Villa run out 4-2 winners against Nottingham Forest at Villa Park this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it is 1-2 (4.94%).

Result
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
62.04% (0.876 0.88) 19.9% (-0.229 -0.23) 18.05% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.436 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.238 0.24)11.38% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.88% (0.511 0.51)36.11% (-0.512 -0.51)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)33.65% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (-0.739 -0.74)70.3% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 62.04%
    Nottingham Forest 18.05%
    Draw 19.9%
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.167 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.071 0.07)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 62.04%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.9%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest

Aston Villa
78.7%
Draw
11.9%
Nottingham Forest
9.5%
253
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Aston Villa
Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')

Kamara (64')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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