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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 30, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Villa Park
Newcastle logo

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Newcastle

Watkins (71')
Kamara (39'), Luiz (72'), McGinn (77'), Zaniolo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Schar (32', 36'), Moreno (52' og.)
Gordon (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Fabian Schar scores a first-half brace to lead Newcastle United to a 3-1 away victory over Aston Villa in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
51.5% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 22.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.11% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.187 -0.19)40.12% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-0.194 -0.19)62.49% (0.197 0.2)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)15.71% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)44.78% (0.11 0.11)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)28.68% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5% (-0.178 -0.18)64.5% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 51.5%
    Newcastle United 25.77%
    Draw 22.73%
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.77%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Aston Villa
55.7%
Draw
26.4%
Newcastle United
17.9%
246
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
5-1
Aston Villa
Tonali (6'), Isak (16', 58'), Wilson (77'), Barnes (90+1')
Botman (45+9'), Gordon (53'), Guimaraes (67'), Tonali (90+2')
Diaby (11')
Luiz (6'), Digne (32'), Martinez (45+9'), Cash (48')
Jul 24, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Newcastle
3-3
Aston Villa
Anderson (28'), Isak (45'), Wilson (55')
Joelinton (87'), Burn (94')
Watkins (7'), Buendia (11', 48')
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
Aston Villa
3-0
Newcastle
Ramsey (11'), Watkins (64', 83')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Newcastle
4-0
Aston Villa
Wilson (45+5' pen., 56'), Joelinton (59'), Almiron (67')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Newcastle
1-0
Aston Villa
Trippier (35')
Joelinton (39'), Burn (66'), Shelvey (82')

McGinn (42'), Luiz (89'), Bailey (90+5'), Ramsey (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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