Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 15, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa3 - 0Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Ollie Watkins continues his scintillating form with a brace and assist as Aston Villa aid their European hopes with a merited 3-0 win over Newcastle United at Villa Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Newcastle
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Newcastle United |
27.86% ( -0.02) | 24.96% ( -0) | 47.18% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( -0.01) | 48.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( -0.01) | 70.64% ( 0.01) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( -0.02) | 31.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.1% ( -0.02) | 67.89% ( 0.02) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% | 20.6% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.85% ( 0) | 53.15% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 27.86%
Newcastle United 47.17%
Draw 24.96%
| Aston Villa | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.17% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Newcastle
Aston Villa
22.4%Draw
27.6%Newcastle United
50.0%214
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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