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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 15, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Newcastle logo

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Newcastle

Ramsey (11'), Watkins (64', 83')
Duran (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schar (22')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins continues his scintillating form with a brace and assist as Aston Villa aid their European hopes with a merited 3-0 win over Newcastle United at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Newcastle
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
27.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 47.18% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.51% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)70.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)67.89% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4%20.6% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)53.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 27.86%
    Newcastle United 47.17%
    Draw 24.96%
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.86%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.1% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.17%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Aston Villa
22.4%
Draw
27.6%
Newcastle United
50.0%
214
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Newcastle
4-0
Aston Villa
Wilson (45+5' pen., 56'), Joelinton (59'), Almiron (67')

Watkins (45+5')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Newcastle
1-0
Aston Villa
Trippier (35')
Joelinton (39'), Burn (66'), Shelvey (82')

McGinn (42'), Luiz (89'), Bailey (90+5'), Ramsey (90+7')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
2-0
Newcastle
Ings (45+3'), El Ghazi (62' pen.)
Luiz (45+1'), Martinez (75'), Buendia (85')

Wilson (41'), Hayden (45'), Murphy (57'), Schar (84')
Mar 12, 2021 8pm
Newcastle
1-1
Aston Villa
Lascelles (90+4')
Krafth (52'), Lascelles (68')
Watkins (86')
McGinn (74'), Sanson (77'), Mings (78')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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