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Premier League
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Traore (48'), Watkins (90+5')
Moreno (35'), Konsa (85'), Watkins (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shelvey (36'), Awoniyi (85'), Mangala (90'), Toffolo (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa continue their brilliant run of form with a 2-0 victory over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
57.38% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.28% (-0.073 -0.07) 19.34% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.331 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.384 0.38)49.75% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.342 0.34)71.76% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (0.139 0.14)17.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (0.243 0.24)47.3% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (0.301 0.3)39.93% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (0.274 0.27)76.59% (-0.27300000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 57.37%
    Nottingham Forest 19.34%
    Draw 23.28%
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.37%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.34%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest

Aston Villa
88.0%
Draw
6.8%
Nottingham Forest
5.3%
133
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Aston Villa
Dennis (15')
Aurier (18')
Young (22')
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
> Match Report
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Aston Villa

Lichaj (61'), Cash (63')
Hogan (18')
Elmohamady (71'), Terry (89')
> Match Report
Sep 23, 2017 5.30pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Nott'm Forest
Adomah (15'), Hourihane (60')
Taylor (95')
Murphy (52')
Bridcutt (42'), Brereton (59'), Mills (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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