Premier League | Gameweek 11
Jan 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 0Newcastle
Reaction
DeAndre Yedlin's Newcastle United future 'in doubt'
The American was absent from the squad at Villa Park.
4 years ago
Steve Bruce "convinced" Newcastle will turn their fortunes around
The Magpies have scored only once in eight games and fans protested at St James' Park on Saturday night.
4 years ago
The Match
Match Report
Dean Smith's side are up to eighth in the table while the Magpies suffered a fourth straight Premier League loss.
Team News
Magpies forward Allan Saint-Maximin is back in the squad for the trip to Villa Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 52.98% | 23.27% | 23.76% |
| Both teams to score 56.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% | 44.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% | 66.86% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% | 16.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.29% | 46.71% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% | 32.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.8% | 69.2% |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 52.98%
Newcastle United 23.76%
Draw 23.26%
| Aston Villa | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.13% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.47% Total : 23.76% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Newcastle
Aston Villa
78.1%Draw
13.9%Newcastle United
7.9%151
Head to Head
Jun 24, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 31
Newcastle
1-1
Aston Villa
Nov 25, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
2-0
Newcastle
Feb 20, 2017 8pm
May 7, 2016 3pm
Form Guide
