Luton1 - 0Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Newcastle United |
29.53% ( 0.81) | 24.18% ( 0.28) | 46.28% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 58.14% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.91% ( -0.78) | 44.09% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.53% ( -0.77) | 66.47% ( 0.76) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% ( 0.16) | 28.03% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% ( 0.21) | 63.69% ( -0.21) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( -0.75) | 19.2% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% ( -1.26) | 50.88% ( 1.25) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.28% |