

Aston Villa3 - 2Burnley
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, December 26 at 8pm in Premier League
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Burnley |
62.67% (![]() | 20.66% (![]() | 16.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.22% (![]() | 42.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.82% (![]() | 65.18% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.94% (![]() | 13.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.36% (![]() | 39.63% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.08% (![]() | 38.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% (![]() | 75.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Burnley |
2-0 @ 10.53% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.34% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 62.67% | 1-1 @ 9.76% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.66% | 0-1 @ 4.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.66% |