Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2021 at 6pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley3 - 2Aston Villa
Reaction
Sean Dyche always confident that his strikers would start scoring
Ashley Barnes, Jay Rodriguez and Chris Wood have all found the net recently.
4 years ago
Dean Smith reveals "disbelief" as Aston Villa lose at Burnley
Villa had led twice at Turf Moor but Chris Wood's headed winner denied them any share of the spoils.
4 years ago
The Match
Match Report
Villa led twice but were stunned by a lucky late goal from Dwight McNeil and Chris Wood's crucial header.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 29.11% | 26.15% | 44.73% |
| Both teams to score 51.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.29% | 52.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% | 74.34% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% | 32.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.69% | 69.3% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% | 23.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.51% | 57.49% |
| Score Analysis |
Burnley 29.11%
Aston Villa 44.73%
Draw 26.15%
| Burnley | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.11% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.07% 1-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.73% |
How you voted: Burnley vs Aston Villa
Burnley
20.6%Draw
16.5%Aston Villa
62.9%267
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2020 6pm
Jan 1, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
1-2
Aston Villa
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
2-2
Burnley
May 24, 2015 3pm
Nov 29, 2014 3pm
Form Guide
