Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa1 - 0Man City
Reaction
Manchester City's Pep Guardiola sets two unwanted records in Aston Villa defeat
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola sets two unwanted records after his Citizens side suffered a 1-0 defeat to Aston Villa in the Premier League.
1 year ago
Unai Emery: 'Aston Villa are not Premier League title contenders'
Unai Emery insists that Aston Villa should not be regarded as Premier League title contenders despite their 1-0 victory over Manchester City on Wednesday night.
1 year ago
The Match
Match Report
A sprightly Aston Villa add another twist to the Premier League title race with a merited 1-0 win over a meek Manchester City side at Villa Park.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-3 Spurs
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester City |
31.47% ( 0.05) | 24.11% ( 0) | 44.42% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( 0) | 42.8% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( 0) | 65.21% ( -0) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( 0.03) | 26.13% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.8% ( 0.04) | 61.2% ( -0.04) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.02) | 19.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.67% ( -0.03) | 51.32% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 31.47%
Manchester City 44.42%
Draw 24.11%
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.47% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 44.42% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City
Aston Villa
29.8%Draw
17.5%Manchester City
52.6%285
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 4.30pm
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Dec 1, 2021 8.15pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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How Manchester City could line up against Aston Villa
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
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