Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
The City Ground
Nott'm Forest2 - 0Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Nottingham Forest end a six-game winless run in the Premier League with a 2-0 victory over an off-colour Aston Villa at the City Ground.
Team News
Nottingham Forest make three changes for Sunday's Premier League game versus Aston Villa at the City Ground.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Luton
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
32.35% ( -0.02) | 25.72% ( -0.05) | 41.92% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( 0.21) | 49.65% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( 0.19) | 71.67% ( -0.19) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( 0.09) | 28.93% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.19% ( 0.12) | 64.81% ( -0.12) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 0.12) | 23.51% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.46% ( 0.18) | 57.54% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest 32.35%
Aston Villa 41.92%
Draw 25.72%
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.35% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.92% |
How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
13.7%Draw
10.4%Aston Villa
75.8%182
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
Form Guide
