Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
40.93% ( 0.01) | 23.76% ( 0) | 35.31% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.08% ( -0.01) | 39.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.71% ( -0.01) | 62.28% ( 0.01) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.2% | 19.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.13% | 51.87% |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( -0.01) | 22.54% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( -0.02) | 56.13% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.15% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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