Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa6 - 1Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa beat Brighton & Hove Albion 6-1 to go 10 wins in a row at Villa Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Brighton
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
40.93% ( 0.01) | 23.76% ( 0) | 35.31% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.11% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.08% ( -0.01) | 39.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.71% ( -0.01) | 62.28% ( 0.01) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% | 19.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.13% | 51.87% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( -0.01) | 22.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.87% ( -0.02) | 56.13% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 40.93%
Brighton & Hove Albion 35.31%
Draw 23.76%
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.15% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.31% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brighton
Aston Villa
35.5%Draw
29.8%Brighton & Hove Albion
34.8%141
Form Guide
