Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
37.15% ( 0.16) | 23.79% ( 0.03) | 39.06% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 62.25% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% ( -0.12) | 39.84% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.8% ( -0.13) | 62.2% ( 0.13) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( 0.03) | 21.56% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.36% ( 0.05) | 54.64% ( -0.05) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.37% ( -0.14) | 20.63% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.8% ( -0.23) | 53.2% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
> Premier League Full Table |