Premier League | Gameweek 25
May 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
St James' Park
Newcastle4 - 1Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United are on the verge of making their Champions League dream a reality thanks to a pulsating 4-1 win over Brighton & Hove Albion at St James' Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Newcastle
Saturday, May 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, May 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-3 Brighton
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
46.16% ( 0.01) | 23.81% | 30.03% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
