Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford1 - 1Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Brentford and Aston Villa both suffer blows in their respective European ambitions with a 1-1 stalemate at the Brentford Community Stadium this afternoon.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Brentford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
38.29% ( 0.06) | 26.36% ( 0) | 35.35% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.24% ( -0.01) | 51.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% ( -0.01) | 73.52% ( 0.01) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( 0.03) | 26.36% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.49% ( 0.04) | 61.51% ( -0.04) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( -0.05) | 28.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.26% ( -0.06) | 63.74% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Brentford 38.29%
Aston Villa 35.35%
Draw 26.35%
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.29% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.35% |
How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa
Brentford
25.3%Draw
18.5%Aston Villa
56.2%233
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Form Guide
