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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Brentford logo

Wolves
2 - 0
Brentford

Costa (27'), Hee-chan (69')
Gomes (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jensen (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Newcastle
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Brentford

Brentford and Wolves have never played out back-to-back draws in a single season before, but there is no obvious winner in this tie, even if Lopetegui's side have the recent Molineux pattern working against them. The Bees have been the stalemate specialists away from home, and with Wolves on the highest of highs from their success over Chelsea, we have faith in the hosts to steal a point and deal yet another blow to Brentford's European hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBrentford
45.04% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.18% (0.0019999999999989 0) 29.78% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.95% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.35% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)70.49% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)21.47% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)54.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)66.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 45.04%
    Brentford 29.78%
    Draw 25.18%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Wolves vs Brentford

Wolverhampton Wanderers
43.5%
Draw
25.2%
Brentford
31.3%
131
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Brentford
1-2
Wolves
Toney (71')
Jansson (75'), Norgaard (83'), Frank (90+8')
Frank (90+8')
Moutinho (48'), Neves (78')
Neves (60'), Gomes (70'), Sa (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 12.30pm
Wolves
0-2
Brentford

Sa (27'), Saiss (38'), Neves (58'), Coady (90+6')
Toney (28' pen.), Mbeumo (34')
Henry (46'), Baptiste (59'), Jansson (74'), Onyeka (80')
Baptiste (64')
Jan 2, 2018 7.45pm
Wolves
3-0
Brentford
Neves (57'), Douglas (59'), Jota (80')
Neves (65'), Boly (77')

Watkins (22'), Woods (56'), Barbet (67')
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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