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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Leeds logo

Wolves
2 - 4
Leeds

Castro (65'), Cunha (73')
Dawson (37'), Semedo (53'), Gomes (87')
Castro (84'), Nunes (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harrison (6'), Ayling (49'), Kristensen (62'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Ayling (24'), McKennie (45+3'), Firpo (45+2'), Roca (75'), Meslier (90+12')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United move into 14th position in the Premier League table with a 4-2 victory at Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
40.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 33.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-0.113 -0.11)49.29% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (-0.101 -0.1)71.34% (0.107 0.11)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)58.01% (0.052 0.05)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)28.12% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.117 -0.12)63.79% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.96%
    Leeds United 33.34%
    Draw 25.7%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.96%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.34%

How you voted: Wolves vs Leeds

Wolverhampton Wanderers
Draw
Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
71.2%
Draw
18.0%
Leeds United
10.8%
139
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Traore (85')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
Podence (6')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Wolves
2-3
Leeds
Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
Jimenez (53')
Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
Hee-chan (10')
Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Meslier (64' og.)
Neto (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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