Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds2 - 2Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Leeds United twice come from behind to draw 2-2 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-0 West Ham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
25.8% ( 0.42) | 22.98% ( 0.17) | 51.21% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.41) | 41.26% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.34% ( -0.42) | 63.66% ( 0.42) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( 0.1) | 29.26% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.77% ( 0.13) | 65.22% ( -0.13) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( -0.36) | 16.22% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.27% ( -0.65) | 45.73% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
Leeds United 25.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion 51.22%
Draw 22.98%
| Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.3% Total : 25.8% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.22% |
How you voted: Leeds vs Brighton
Leeds United
17.2%Draw
11.5%Brighton & Hove Albion
71.3%157
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Brighton's Kaoru Mitoma out to break Japanese Premier League scoring record
Kaoru Mitoma will be looking to break a Japanese scoring record in the Premier League when Brighton & Hove Albion face Leeds United at Elland Road on Saturday.
2 years ago
Brighton handed Solly March, Levi Colwill fitness boost ahead of Leeds United clash
Brighton & Hove Albion boss Roberto De Zerbi provides a positive fitness update on Solly March and Levi Colwill ahead of Saturday's Premier League trip to Leeds United.
2 years ago
