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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Southampton logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Southampton

Firpo (77')
Gnonto (79'), Bamford (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Armstrong (58'), Lavia (85'), Bella-Kotchap (90+4'), Diallo (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United move out of the relegation zone in the Premier League courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Southampton at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
52.63% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 24.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.17% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)49.06% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)71.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)18.6% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (-0.055 -0.05)49.88% (0.058 0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.69% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (0.027000000000001 0.03)72.46% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 52.62%
    Southampton 23.17%
    Draw 24.19%
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 52.62%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.17%

How you voted: Leeds vs Southampton

Leeds United
Draw
Southampton
Leeds United
54.9%
Draw
24.8%
Southampton
20.3%
133
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Southampton
2-2
Leeds
Aribo (72'), Walker-Peters (81')
Salisu (78')
Rodrigo (46', 60')
Harrison (43'), Kristensen (45'), Aaronson (90+3')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Leeds
Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')
May 18, 2021 6pm
Southampton
0-2
Leeds
Bamford (73'), Roberts (90+5')
Phillips (34'), Dallas (56'), Struijk (66')
Feb 23, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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