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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Brighton logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Brighton

Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

Last Six:
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last Six:
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

 Momentum and morale in the visiting camp could hardly be higher right now, and the giant-killing Seagulls also boast a much fresher squad and complement of options off the bench compared to their depleted hosts. The highly-anticipated return of Liam Cooper did not do much good for Leeds in midweek, and with the quick turnaround also working against them, we can only back Potter's in-form side to get the job done - with another clean sheet in tow - and leave the Whites in major trouble in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.86% (0.392 0.39) 23.96% (0.139 0.14) 50.17% (-0.529 -0.53)
Both teams to score 55.99% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.273 -0.27)45.61% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (-0.262 -0.26)67.94% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.17 0.17)31.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.192 0.19)67.91% (-0.191 -0.19)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.306 -0.31)18.23% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (-0.524 -0.52)49.26% (0.525 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 25.86%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 50.17%
    Draw 23.96%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.83% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.86%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.72% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds United
30.3%
Draw
14.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
55.6%
178
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
Brighton
0-0
Leeds

Bissouma (81')

Firpo (5'), Llorente (66'), Shackleton (85')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Leeds
0-1
Brighton

Ayling (42')
Maupay (17')
Webster (71')
Mar 18, 2017 5.30pm
Leeds
2-0
Brighton
Wood (63', 85' pen.)

Rosenior (37'), Murray (67')
Dec 9, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Murray (23' pen.), Hemed (82' pen.)
Murray (26')

Ayling (11'), Janssen (19'), Bartley (81')
Phillips (23')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


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