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EFL Cup
Aston Villa logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Villa Park
Everton logo

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Everton

Kamara (83')
Watkins (46'), Digne (74'), Konsa (79'), Luiz (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garner (15'), Calvert-Lewin (50')
Patterson (48'), Tarkowski (66'), McNeil (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Everton beat Aston Villa 2-1 to book their place in the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

Everton

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Everton
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawEverton
41.25% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 25.09% (0.338 0.34) 33.66% (-0.399 -0.4)
Both teams to score 56.92% (-1.292 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (-1.635 -1.64)46.52% (1.636 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (-1.555 -1.56)68.79% (1.555 1.55)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)22.47% (0.675 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99% (-1.018 -1.02)56.01% (1.019 1.02)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (-1.02 -1.02)26.58% (1.02 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-1.371 -1.37)61.8% (1.371 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 41.26%
    Everton 33.66%
    Draw 25.08%
Aston VillaDrawEverton
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.402 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Everton

Aston Villa
83.5%
Draw
8.8%
Everton
7.7%
91
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-0
Everton
McGinn (18'), Luiz (24' pen.), Bailey (51'), Duran (75')
Luiz (14'), Digne (33'), Archer (89')

Pickford (24'), Keane (45+4'), Gueye (45+9'), Patterson (86')
> Match Report
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Everton
0-2
Aston Villa
Watkins (63' pen.), Buendia (81')
> Match Report
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
2-1
Everton
Ings (31'), Buendia (85')
Coutinho (29'), Digne (49'), Ings (75'), Young (90+8')
Digne (87' og.)
Davies (43')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 23
Everton
0-1
Aston Villa

Gomes (45+1'), Calvert-Lewin (50'), Mina (58'), Allan (82'), Godfrey (83')
Buendia (45+3')
Martinez (69'), Cash (75'), Mings (86'), Ings (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
3-0
Everton
Cash (66'), Digne (69' og.), Bailey (75')
Bailey (76')

Godfrey (72')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
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11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


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