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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Goodison Park
Aston Villa logo

Everton
0 - 1
Aston Villa


Gomes (45+1'), Calvert-Lewin (50'), Mina (58'), Allan (82'), Godfrey (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Buendia (45+3')
Martinez (69'), Cash (75'), Mings (86'), Ings (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Everton 1-2 Aston Villa

The re-introduction of 'Big Dunc' to the Everton dugout will undoubtedly go down better with the home crowd, but a reinvigorated Villa side will give the interim coach a baptism of fire on Saturday. Results have not always gone Gerrard's way since his return to the Premier League, but we have confidence in the Lions' ability to prolong Everton's misery with another clinical display in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Everton had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
EvertonDrawAston Villa
36.49%27.01%36.5%
Both teams to score 50.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.58%54.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21%75.79%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33%28.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51%64.49%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33%28.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52%64.48%
Score Analysis
    Everton 36.48%
    Aston Villa 36.5%
    Draw 27%
EvertonDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 6.42%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Everton vs Aston Villa

Everton
Draw
Aston Villa
Everton
20.9%
Draw
17.6%
Aston Villa
61.5%
273
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
3-0
Everton
Cash (66'), Digne (69' og.), Bailey (75')
Bailey (76')

Godfrey (72')
May 13, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
0-0
Everton
Traore (43'), McGinn (90')
Sigurdsson (55')
May 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
Everton
1-2
Aston Villa
Watkins (13'), El Ghazi (80')
Luiz (41'), El Ghazi (90')
Jul 16, 2020 6pm
Aug 23, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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