Reaction
Matt Targett: 'Late Everton equaliser was a kick in the teeth'
Theo Walcott's 87th-minute strike denied Villa all three points.
5 years ago
Dean Smith admits Aston Villa need to win last two games to stay up
Villa are three points from safety following their draw at Everton.
5 years ago
The Match
Match Report
Dean Smith's side are three points from safety with only two games remaining.
Team News
Kortney Hause and Neil Taylor are expected to miss out for Villa.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Everton and Aston Villa, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 50.64% | 25.02% | 24.34% |
| Both teams to score 51.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% | 51.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% | 73.15% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% | 20.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.37% | 52.63% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% | 35.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Score Analysis |
Everton 50.64%
Aston Villa 24.34%
Draw 25.01%
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.64% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.34% |
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 3
Aston Villa
2-0
Everton
Mar 1, 2016 7.45pm
Nov 21, 2015 3pm
May 2, 2015 3pm
Oct 18, 2014 3pm
Form Guide
