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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Aston Villa logo

Zrinjski Mostar
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Malekinusic (87')
Canadija (3'), Malekinusic (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zaniolo (61')
Zaniolo (37'), McGinn (84')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa will benefit from playing two fewer games in the New Year after securing a spot in the Round of 16 in the Conference League with a 1-1 draw against Zrijnski.

Team News

Aston Villa boss Unai Emery rings the changes for Thursday's Europa Conference League fixture against Zrinjski Mostar.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zrinjski Mostar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Aston Villa

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawAston Villa
46.27% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 22.29% (0.0010000000000012 0) 31.44% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 66.21% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.02% (0.010999999999996 0.01)33.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.16% (0.014999999999993 0.01)55.84% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)15.27% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)43.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (0.024000000000001 0.02)21.86% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (0.037000000000006 0.04)55.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 46.27%
    Aston Villa 31.44%
    Draw 22.29%
Zrinjski MostarDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 6.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs Aston Villa

Zrinjski Mostar
13.5%
Draw
9.6%
Aston Villa
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Aston Villa
1-0
Zrinjski Mostar
McGinn (90+4')
McGinn (24'), Cash (64')

Hrvanovic (22'), Bilbija (64')
> Match Report
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