Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Zrinjski Mostar4 - 3AZ
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Zrinjski Mostar and AZ Alkmaar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Sparta
Sunday, September 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, September 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
34.43% ( -0.03) | 24.64% ( -0.01) | 40.92% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( 0.07) | 44.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.32% ( 0.06) | 66.67% ( -0.06) |
| Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.24% ( 0.02) | 59.75% ( -0.02) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( 0.05) | 21.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.19% ( 0.08) | 54.81% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Zrinjski Mostar 34.43%
AZ Alkmaar 40.92%
Draw 24.64%
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.43% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.92% |
How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs AZ
Zrinjski Mostar
4.7%Draw
9.3%AZ Alkmaar
86.0%43
Form Guide
