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Europa League
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Kopavogsvollur

Breidablik
1 - 0
Zrinjski Mostar

Jakovljevic (55' og.)
Sigurjonsson (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barisic (45'), Canadija (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Breidablik and Zrinjski Mostar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Breidablik

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Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 6-2 Breidablik
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
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Zrinjski Mostar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 6-2 Breidablik
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
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We said: Breidablik 2-2 Zrinjski Mostar (Zrinjski Mostar to win 8-4 on aggregate)

 Facing a four-goal deficit, Breidablik have little choice but to go on the offensive from the off in this game. However, that will only provide the visitors with extra space to put the tie out of their hosts' reach, and we expect Zrinjski to cruise over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Breidablik had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Breidablik win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
BreidablikDrawZrinjski Mostar
32.05% (-1.714 -1.71) 25.84% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 42.1% (1.618 1.62)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-0.85100000000001 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (-0.861 -0.86)50.26% (0.863 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (-0.769 -0.77)72.21% (0.771 0.77)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-1.524 -1.52)29.43% (1.527 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-1.906 -1.91)65.43% (1.907 1.91)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (0.434 0.43)23.68% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.622 0.62)57.8% (-0.621 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Breidablik 32.05%
    Zrinjski Mostar 42.1%
    Draw 25.84%
BreidablikDrawZrinjski Mostar
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.459 0.46)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.156 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.425 0.43)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.245 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.1%

How you voted: Breidablik vs Zrinjski Mostar

Breidablik
24.0%
Draw
22.0%
Zrinjski Mostar
54.0%
50
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 8pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Zrinjski Mostar
6-2
Breidablik
Kis (2', 30'), Malekinusic (21', 40'), Bilbija (33'), Ivancic (55')
Jakovljevic (69'), Senic (87')
Logi Ludviksson (64'), Eyjolfsson (74')
Karl Einarsson (25')
Karl Einarsson (31')
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