Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford1 - 2Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa come from behind to record a 2-1 victory over Brentford in Sunday afternoon's Premier League clash.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
35.97% ( 0.33) | 24.29% ( -0.27) | 39.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.26% ( 1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( 1.34) | 42.39% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.2% ( 1.33) | 64.8% ( -1.32) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( 0.8) | 23.33% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.72% ( 1.14) | 57.28% ( -1.14) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( 0.56) | 21.41% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.59% ( 0.85) | 54.41% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
Brentford 35.97%
Aston Villa 39.74%
Draw 24.29%
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.74% |
How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa
Brentford
16.1%Draw
14.4%Aston Villa
69.5%118
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Form Guide
