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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Wolves logo

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Wolves

Diaby (36'), Konsa (65')
Tielemans (30'), Duran (84'), Digne (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sarabia (19'), Chirewa (81'), Kilman (84'), Gomes (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa strengthen hold of fourth spot in Premier League with 2-0 win over Wolves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
65.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 15.97% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.67% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.5% (0.037000000000006 0.04)33.5% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.71% (0.039000000000001 0.04)55.3% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.012999999999991 0.01)9.57% (-0.0080999999999989 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.03% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.01% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.69% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 65.6%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.97%
    Draw 18.43%
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 65.6%
1-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.43%
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Wolves

Aston Villa
66.7%
Draw
17.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
16.3%
135
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Wolves
1-1
Aston Villa
Hee-chan (53')
Dawson (28'), Lemina (62'), Semedo (67'), Kalajdzic (90+14')
Lemina (90+4')
Torres (55')
Kamara (6'), McGinn (29')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
1-1
Wolves
Ings (78')
Podence (12')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wolves
2-1
Aston Villa
Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Aston Villa
2-3
Wolves
Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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