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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Wolves logo

Newcastle
3 - 0
Wolves

Isak (14'), Gordon (33'), Livramento (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ait-Nouri (85')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United return to winning ways in the Premier League with a resounding 3-0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 3-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
62.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 19.19% (0.0039999999999978 0) 18.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 61.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.79% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)33.21% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.03% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)54.96% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.18% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33.43% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)31.51% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)67.9% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 62.74%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.07%
    Draw 19.19%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.64%
4-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 62.74%
1-1 @ 8.46% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.19%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-1 @ 3.7% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Wolves

Newcastle United
45.0%
Draw
27.5%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
27.5%
171
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolves
2-2
Newcastle
Lemina (36'), Hee-chan (71')
Ait-Nouri (83')
Wilson (22', 45+4')
Burn (66'), Lascelles (69'), Trippier (82'), Longstaff (90+6')
Mar 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newcastle
2-1
Wolves
Isak (26'), Almiron (79')
Hee-chan (70')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Wolves
1-1
Newcastle
Neves (38')
Semedo (28'), Neto (58')
Saint-Maximin (90')
Schar (46')
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Newcastle
1-0
Wolves
Wood (72' pen.)
Schar (56')

Moutinho (87')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Wolves
2-1
Newcastle
Hee-chan (20', 58')
Lage (44')
Hendrick (41')
Clark (56'), Manquillo (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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