FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Wolves1 - 0Brighton
The Match
Match Report
An early goal from Mario Lemina sends Wolverhampton Wanderers into the last eight of the FA Cup at the expense of Brighton & Hove Albion, setting up a tie with Coventry City.
Team News
Wolverhampton Wanderers make four changes for Wednesday's FA Cup fifth-round tie against Brighton & Hove Albion.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Sheff Utd
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Everton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
49
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
32.11% ( 0.24) | 23.07% ( 0.04) | 44.83% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 63.61% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.48% ( -0.12) | 37.52% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.25% ( -0.13) | 59.75% ( 0.13) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( 0.08) | 23.19% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( 0.11) | 57.08% ( -0.11) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% ( -0.16) | 17.18% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.55% ( -0.28) | 47.45% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers 32.11%
Brighton & Hove Albion 44.83%
Draw 23.06%
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.11% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.15% Total : 44.83% |
How you voted: Wolves vs Brighton
Wolverhampton Wanderers
58.4%Brighton & Hove Albion
41.6%178
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-08 22:16:15
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 46 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 34 |
7 | Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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