Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa3 - 3Brentford
The Match
Match Report
Relegation-threatened Brentford come from two goals behind to draw 3-3 with Champions League-chasing Aston Villa at Villa Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 4-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Brighton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
65.56% ( -0.04) | 18.76% ( 0.02) | 15.67% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.2% ( -0.05) | 35.79% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.13% ( -0.06) | 57.87% ( 0.06) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( -0.03) | 10.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.47% ( -0.06) | 33.52% ( 0.06) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% ( -0.01) | 35.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.39% ( -0.01) | 72.6% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 65.56%
Brentford 15.67%
Draw 18.76%
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 4.07% Total : 65.56% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.76% | 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.67% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brentford
Aston Villa
73.0%Draw
17.2%Brentford
9.8%163
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Form Guide
