Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brighton1 - 0Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Joao Pedro scores a late winner to fire Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-0 win over Aston Villa at the Amex Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
52
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
46.41% ( 1.13) | 22.75% ( -0.23) | 30.83% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 64.1% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.41% ( 0.68) | 36.59% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.25% ( 0.74) | 58.74% ( -0.74) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( 0.69) | 16.22% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.27% ( 1.24) | 45.72% ( -1.24) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.19) | 23.48% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.49% ( -0.29) | 57.5% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion 46.41%
Aston Villa 30.83%
Draw 22.75%
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.83% |
How you voted: Brighton vs Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
14.0%Draw
14.0%Aston Villa
71.9%242
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Form Guide
