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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Pedro (87')
Gross (49'), Adingra (63'), De Zerbi (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cash (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Joao Pedro scores a late winner to fire Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-0 win over Aston Villa at the Amex Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
46.41% (1.128 1.13) 22.75% (-0.229 -0.23) 30.83% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 64.1% (0.365 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.41% (0.682 0.68)36.59% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.74 0.74)58.74% (-0.744 -0.74)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (0.68600000000001 0.69)16.22% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (1.241 1.24)45.72% (-1.243 -1.24)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)23.48% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.285 -0.29)57.5% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.41%
    Aston Villa 30.83%
    Draw 22.75%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 4.01% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.1 0.1)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.83%

How you voted: Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion
14.0%
Draw
14.0%
Aston Villa
71.9%
242
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
6-1
Brighton
Watkins (14', 21', 65'), Estupinan (26' og.), Ramsey (85'), Luiz (90+7')
Luiz (7'), Digne (32'), Konsa (57'), Duran (90+5')
Fati (50')
Welbeck (39'), Fati (72'), Dunk (79'), Mitoma (84')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Brighton
Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Ings (67'), Raikhy (85')
Undav (75', 81')
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-2
Aston Villa
Ings (20' pen., 54')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Brighton
0-2
Aston Villa

Cucurella (16'), Trossard (25'), Bissouma (57'), Veltman (58')
Cash (17'), Watkins (68')
Cash (19'), Luiz (25'), Mings (40'), Watkins (40'), Martinez (83')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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