

Aston Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
59.75% (![]() | 19.85% (![]() | 20.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.38% (![]() | 32.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.72% (![]() | 54.28% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.25% (![]() | 10.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.27% (![]() | 34.72% (![]() |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% (![]() | 28.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% (![]() | 64.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-1 @ 9.59% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 59.75% | 1-1 @ 8.6% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 5.34% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.15% Total : 20.4% |