Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa come from behind to record a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth in Sunday afternoon's Premier League contest at Villa Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Man Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
59.75% ( -0.01) | 19.85% ( 0.01) | 20.4% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.45% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.38% ( -0.02) | 32.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.02) | 54.28% ( 0.02) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% ( -0.01) | 10.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.27% ( -0.02) | 34.72% ( 0.02) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0.01) | 28.9% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.01) | 64.78% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 59.75%
Bournemouth 20.4%
Draw 19.85%
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 59.75% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.15% Total : 20.4% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
Aston Villa
76.6%Draw
16.2%Bournemouth
7.2%167
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 25
Bournemouth
2-1
Aston Villa
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
1-2
Bournemouth
Form Guide
