MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 17:51:14| >> :60:3:3:
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Azteca
Aston Villa logo

America
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Hernandez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly between Club America and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 America
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Club America 2-2 Aston Villa

Although they have a head start in terms of match-fitness, America have been vulnerable at the back since returning to action; therefore, an Aston Villa squad featuring several fresh faces - but still missing some international stars - can finish their US trip with a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
49.76% (-0.411 -0.41) 23.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 26.9% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.07 -0.07)41.94% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.07 -0.07)64.35% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.178 -0.18)17.01% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.318 -0.32)47.13% (0.321 0.32)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.215 0.22)28.79% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.267 0.27)64.64% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Club America 49.76%
    Aston Villa 26.9%
    Draw 23.33%
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 49.76%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: America vs Aston Villa

Club America
13.0%
Draw
17.4%
Aston Villa
69.6%
23
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
4Arsenal1686229151430
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!