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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Las Palmas

Atletico
2 - 0
Las Palmas

Simeone (37'), Sorloth (84')
Lenglet (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rozada (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Vic 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, October 31 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Las Palmas

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Ontinena 0-7 Las Palmas
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Las Palmas

 Las Palmas will enter this match full of confidence, and Atletico are yet to find their best form this season; we are expecting a close match on Sunday, with Las Palmas having a goal in them against a strong Atletico defence, but the home side should have enough quality to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
59.4% (-0.379 -0.38) 21.24% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 19.36% (0.335 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.46% (0.454 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (0.313 0.31)40.9% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (0.318 0.32)63.29% (-0.318 -0.32)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (-0.012 -0.01)13.43% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)40.39% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.53399999999999 0.53)34.78% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.559 0.56)71.51% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 59.4%
    Las Palmas 19.36%
    Draw 21.24%
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.61% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.36%

How you voted: Atletico vs Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid
86.7%
Draw
9.7%
Las Palmas
3.5%
113
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 25
Atletico
5-0
Las Palmas
Llorente (15', 20'), Correa (47', 62' pen.), Depay (87')
Molina (28'), Niguez (33')

Perrone (4'), El Haddadi (61')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico
Rodriguez (51'), Benito (75')
Morata (83')
De Paul (62'), Gimenez (90+3'), Savic (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
3-0
Las Palmas
Griezmann (61'), Torres (73'), Partey (88')
Niguez (82')

Navarro (67'), Galvez (85')
> Match Report
Aug 26, 2017 9.15pm
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico
Calleri (58')
Hernan (14'), Bigas (24'), Gonzalez (39'), Viera (62')
Correa (3'), Carrasco (5'), Koke (62', 75'), Partey (88')
Vietto (39')
> Match Report
Apr 29, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico

Boateng (6'), Jese (32'), Halilovic (56')
Boateng (65')
Gameiro (2', 18'), Niguez (17'), Partey (72'), Torres (91')
Niguez (14'), Savic (31'), Gaitan (61'), Partey (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


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