If Greece want any chance of competing with England for promotion, home and away wins against both Ireland and Finland are likely going to be necessary.
The visitors should come in as slight favourites given their impressive win on Saturday and a strong recent record against Ireland, while the hosts will need to pick themselves up after an underwhelming display against England.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.13) 
