Rep. Ireland

2 - 1

Hungary

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.