MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:27:11| >> :600:6289705:6289705:
Lithuania national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Hungary national football team

Lithuania
2 - 2
Hungary

Cernych (20'), Sirvys (36')
Lekiatas (42'), Utkus (55'), Kazukolovas (70'), Lasickas (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Szoboszlai (67' pen.), Varga (82')
Szoboszlai (55'), Fiola (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship qualifying clash between Lithuania and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bulgaria 0-2 Lithuania
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Serbia
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Lithuania 1-3 Hungary

Both teams come into this match on the back of wins on Saturday, but the difference between the two teams in terms of group standings and quality of performances is still too obvious to make it an equal match up. Hungary are still undefeated away from home in the Euro 2024 qualifiers, and it should remain that way after the final whistle in Kaunas on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 12.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.71%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
LithuaniaDrawHungary
12.24% (-0.108 -0.11) 20.63% (-0.366 -0.37) 67.12% (0.46900000000001 0.47)
Both teams to score 42.15% (0.721 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (1.169 1.17)51.55% (-1.173 -1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (1.008 1.01)73.34% (-1.012 -1.01)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.29% (0.541 0.54)50.71% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.85% (0.366 0.37)85.14% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (0.52800000000001 0.53)14.47% (-0.531 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.55% (1.01 1.01)42.45% (-1.015 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 12.24%
    Hungary 67.12%
    Draw 20.64%
LithuaniaDrawHungary
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-1 @ 3.27% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 12.24%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.64%
0-1 @ 14.18% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-2 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 8.83% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 6% (0.151 0.15)
0-4 @ 4.27% (0.12 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.9% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.082 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.076 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.12% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 67.12%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Hungary

Lithuania
7.4%
Draw
9.6%
Hungary
83.0%
94
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Hungary
2-0
Lithuania
Varga (32'), Sallai (83')
Orban (54'), Szoboszlai (89'), Rossi (89')

Uzela (39'), Tutyskinas (50'), Jankauskas (56')
rhs 2.0
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