Bulgaria may have impressively held their own on rival territory over the course of the past few months, but unlike in the animal kingdom, the Lions are the underdogs here.
With a penchant for goals at the Puskas Arena, Hungary are only on an upward trajectory and should encounter few difficulties en route to a straightforward opening win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
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