Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
35.18% ( -0.21) | 26.71% ( -0.07) | 38.11% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 51.8% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.77% ( 0.28) | 53.22% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.21% ( 0.24) | 74.78% ( -0.24) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( 0.01) | 28.89% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% ( 0.01) | 64.76% ( -0.01) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% ( 0.29) | 27.15% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.45% ( 0.38) | 62.55% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |