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La Liga
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Real Sociedad logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 2
Real Sociedad

FT(HT: 0-2)
Sorloth (15'), Barrenetxea (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga

Real Sociedad

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca
Tuesday, January 17 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Sociedad

 This is a really tough match to call, as Rayo have only lost twice at home in the league this season, while Real Sociedad have won six of their eight La Liga fixtures on their travels. It would not be a surprise to see an away win, but this fixture has often produced draws in recent seasons, and we are backing a 1-1 here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
20.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 55.67% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)52.89% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)74.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)41% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.44% (-0.026 -0.03)77.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)50.36%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 20.02%
    Real Sociedad 55.66%
    Draw 24.29%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 6.9%
2-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 20.02%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 55.66%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano
22.4%
Draw
20.4%
Real Sociedad
57.1%
49
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Real Sociedad
Falcao (77')
Lopez (56'), Valentin (73')
Sorloth (33')
Zubeldia (38')
Aug 22, 2021 4pm
Real Sociedad
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Oyarzabal (68' pen.)
Isak (86'), Pacheco Dozagarat (90'), Le Normand (90+5')

Trejo (26'), Comesana (55'), Balliu (66'), Garcia (90+1'), Iraola (90+2')
Jan 20, 2019 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Real Sociedad
Comesana (22'), Embarba (28')
Velazquez (76'), Dimitrievski (88')
Moreno (39'), Jose (82')
Llorente (87')
Sep 25, 2018 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Bautista (5'), Jose (78')
Zubeldia (15'), Moreno (77'), Merino (81'), Zaldua (89')
Advincula (31'), Trejo (36' pen.)
Advincula (61'), Kakuta (62'), Trejo (90')
May 8, 2016 4pm
Real Sociedad
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Oyarzabal (12'), Orgilles Jon (51')
Prieto (28'), Orgilles Jon (70')
Granero (76')
Guerra (69')
Angel Crespo (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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