Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
52.28% ( -0.05) | 25.2% ( 0) | 22.52% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.57% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.34% ( 0.04) | 53.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( 0.03) | 75.15% ( -0.04) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.47% ( -0) | 20.53% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.97% ( -0.01) | 53.03% ( 0.01) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.12% ( 0.07) | 38.88% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.39% ( 0.07) | 75.6% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 22.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |