

Real Sociedad1 - 0Rayo Vallecano
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
50.36% | 24.09% | 25.55% |
Both teams to score 55.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% | 46.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% | 68.72% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% | 18.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.31% | 49.68% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% | 32.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% | 68.7% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.55% |