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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Sevilla logo

Atletico
6 - 1
Sevilla

Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')
Gimenez (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
En-Nesyri (39')
Gueye (25'), Acuna (55'), Montiel (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Sevilla

 Sevilla are clearly a lot better than they have shown for much of the season, but this is a very difficult match for Sampaoli's side. Atletico have not been in top form at Wanda Metropolitano in 2022-23, but the Red and Whites impressed at Bernabeu last weekend, and we are expecting them to secure all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
58.84% (0.669 0.67) 23.32% (-0.488 -0.49) 17.85% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 47.15% (1.072 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (1.609 1.61)51.95% (-1.605 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (1.373 1.37)73.69% (-1.37 -1.37)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63% (0.83199999999999 0.83)17.37% (-0.828 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.23% (1.432 1.43)47.78% (-1.428 -1.43)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.732 0.73)42.94% (-0.73 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.76% (0.612 0.61)79.24% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 58.83%
    Sevilla 17.85%
    Draw 23.31%
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.67% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.208 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.134 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.085 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 58.83%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.279 -0.28)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 17.85%

How you voted: Atletico vs Sevilla

Atletico Madrid
74.7%
Draw
15.7%
Sevilla
9.6%
83
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Sevilla
0-2
Atletico

Isco (11')
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


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