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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Atletico Madrid logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Atletico


Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico are flying at the moment and will have been further boosted by their win over Man United in the Champions League. Rayo, on the other hand, are struggling for form, and we are finding it very difficult to back anything other than a routine victory for the Spanish champions this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
28.21%26.01%45.77%
Both teams to score 51.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4%52.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75%74.25%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63%33.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30%70%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29%56.71%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 28.21%
    Atletico Madrid 45.77%
    Draw 26.01%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 11.27%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 8.3%
1-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 45.77%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico

Rayo Vallecano
11.2%
Draw
7.5%
Atletico Madrid
81.3%
107
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
Jan 14, 2016 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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