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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Real Madrid logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Carrasco (40' pen.)
Llorente (37'), Savic (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jovic (20'), Vazquez (28'), Vallejo (38'), Ancelotti (67'), Nacho (71')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Sunday's La Liga clash with city rivals Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-2 Real Madrid

While there is an element of pressure on both Madrid teams to win considering that bragging rights are on the line, there is more riding on this fixture for Atletico as defeat on Sunday could potentially see them slip out of the top four. Real are on a real high after enjoying a historic week, and even if they opt to rest one or two star names, we expect the visitors to come out on top at the Wanda Metropolitano. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
38.27% (-1.283 -1.28) 25.87% (-0.211 -0.21) 35.87% (1.493 1.49)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.914 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (1.084 1.08)49.62% (-1.085 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.965 0.97)71.64% (-0.96499999999999 -0.96)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)25.4% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-0.27 -0.27)60.2% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (1.416 1.42)26.75% (-1.417 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (1.835 1.84)62.02% (-1.835 -1.83)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 38.27%
    Real Madrid 35.87%
    Draw 25.86%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.473 -0.47)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.362 -0.36)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.27%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.209 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.241 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.153 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.87%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid
27.1%
Draw
17.6%
Real Madrid
55.3%
255
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Benzema (16'), Asensio (57')
Mendy (45+1'), Alaba (88')

Felipe (36'), Kondogbia (75'), Suarez (88')
Mar 7, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Suarez (15')
Carrasco (64'), Correa (72'), Felix (80'), Savic (90'), Llorente (90+2')
Benzema (88')
Varane (67')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Casemiro (15'), Oblak (63' og.)
Casemiro (36')

Lemar (46'), Correa (50'), Savic (61')
Jan 12, 2020 6pm
Real Madrid
0-0
Atletico
Real Madrid win 4-1 on penalties
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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