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Champions League header

Champions League
Manchester City logo
Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Real Madrid logo

Man City
4 - 3
Real Madrid

De Bruyne (2'), Jesus (11'), Foden (53'), Silva (74')
Guardiola (54'), Fernandinho (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Benzema (33', 82' pen.), Junior (55')
Nacho (90+3')

The Match

Team News

John Stones is fit to start for Manchester City for the first leg of their Champions League semi-final with Real Madrid on Tuesday night, but Kyle Walker misses out.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

Last Six:
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Real Madrid

Last Six:
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

We said: Manchester City 2-2 Real Madrid

 Defensive uncertainties and absentees on both sides should have both revered managers feeling confident of gleaning a first-leg advantage at the Etihad, with Benzema and Vinicius capable of plucking goals out of nowhere for the visitors. However, City will need no second invitation to break down a depleted Blancos backline in front of their own crowd, and we expect an end-to-end first leg with plenty of goalmouth action to end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 3-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawReal Madrid
43.14%20.37%36.49%
Both teams to score 75.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.54%22.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.48%41.52%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.17%11.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.91%37.08%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.91%14.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.31%41.69%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 43.14%
    Real Madrid 36.49%
    Draw 20.37%
Manchester CityDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 5.19%
2-0 @ 3.8%
1-0 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.7%
4-3 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 1.21%
5-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 43.14%
2-2 @ 7.29%
1-1 @ 6.97%
3-3 @ 3.39%
0-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 6.83%
2-3 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-1 @ 3.27%
0-2 @ 3.2%
2-4 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 2.09%
3-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.03%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 36.49%

How you voted: Man City vs Real Madrid

Manchester City
49.6%
Draw
16.2%
Real Madrid
34.1%
844
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2020 8pm
Man City
2-1
Real Madrid
Sterling (9'), Jesus (68')
Benzema (28')
Modric (81')
Feb 26, 2020 8pm
Real Madrid
1-2
Man City
> Match Report
Jul 27, 2017 4am
Man City
4-1
Real Madrid
Otamendi (52'), Sterling (59'), Stones (67'), Diaz (81')
Toure (29'), Nasri (88')
Oscar (90')
Nacho (33'), Carvajal (41')
> Match Report
May 4, 2016 7.45pm
Real Madrid
1-0
Man City
> Match Report
Apr 26, 2016 7.45pm
Man City
0-0
Real Madrid
> Match Report
Build-up
Real Madrid's Eden Hazard with the match ball, September 28, 2021
Real Madrid missing three players through injury for Manchester City clash
Eden Hazard, Luka Jovic and Mariano Diaz are out of the Real Madrid squad for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Manchester City.
Apr 25, 20:43
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on April 16, 2022
Pep Guardiola looking to break Champions League record against Real Madrid
Pep Guardiola will be looking to break a Champions League record when his Manchester City side lock horns with 13-time champions Real Madrid in the semi-finals.
Apr 25, 20:23
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reacts on April 13, 2022
Pep Guardiola: "Players will play in positions they aren't used to" against Real Madrid
Pep Guardiola admits that some of his Manchester City players "will play in positions they aren't used to" against Real Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday.
Apr 25, 14:46
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reacts alongside Real Madrid coach Zinedine Zidane on February 26, 2020
Pep Guardiola's managerial record vs. Real Madrid
Ahead of Manchester City's Champions League semi-final clash with Real Madrid, Sports Mole takes a closer look at Pep Guardiola's record against Los Blancos.
Apr 25, 11:14
 Real Madrid's Luka Modric celebrates scoring their second goal with Casemiro, David Alaba and teammates on March 5, 2022
Real Madrid duo Casemiro and David Alaba 'doubtful for Manchester City tie'
Real Madrid's Casemiro and David Alaba are doubtful ahead of their Champions League semi-final tie against Manchester City on Tuesday, but have travelled with the squad.
Apr 25, 08:22
 Manchester City's Riyad Mahrez celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on April 20, 2022
Combined XI: Manchester City vs. Real Madrid
Ahead of Manchester City and Real Madrid's Champions League semi-final first leg, Sports Mole selects a combined XI from both squads.
Apr 24, 21:02
 Manchester City's Raheem Sterling in action with Real Madrid's Casemiro and Toni Kroos on August 7, 2020
Manchester City vs. Real Madrid head-to-head record
Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Real Madrid ahead of their meeting in the Champions League.
Apr 24, 17:04
 Real Madrid's Casemiro celebrates scoring their first goal with Eduardo Camavinga, Lucas Vazquez and Vinicius Junior on April 9, 2022
How Real Madrid could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Manchester City.
Apr 24, 09:46
 Manchester City's Joao Cancelo celebrates scoring against RB Leipzig on September 15, 2021
How Manchester City could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Apr 24, 09:34
 Manchester City's Kyle Walker pictured on April 13, 2022
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Real Madrid.
Apr 24, 08:48
 David Alaba celebrates scoring for Real Madrid in October 2021
David Alaba hands Real Madrid injury scare ahead of Manchester City clash
Real Madrid defender David Alaba suffers a hamstring strain during his side's 3-1 win over Osasuna on Wednesday night.
Apr 21, 09:35
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3Arsenal1796234161833
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5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
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15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
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19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
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