MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 17:44:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Oceane
Lille

Le Havre
0 - 3
Lille


Kechta (44'), Desmas (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
David (23', 35', 79')
Andre (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Le Havre
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, September 21 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Lille

Only two of Le Havre's 47 previous Ligue 1 home games have ended in draws, and this is likely to be no exception, in what could be a 30th defeat in that time for the hosts. Lille may be on a five-game winless streak, but Le Havre are favourable opponents for them having won the last five meetings between the two, and they are fancied to make it six here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawLille
27.94% (-0.278 -0.28) 26.24% (-0.132 -0.13) 45.81% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.204 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.353 0.35)53.65% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.295 0.29)75.15% (-0.30199999999999 -0.3)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)34.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.16% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)70.83% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (0.342 0.34)23.37% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.66% (0.499 0.5)57.34% (-0.506 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 27.94%
    Lille 45.81%
    Draw 26.24%
Le HavreDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.94%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 11.59% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.43% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.81%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Lille

Le Havre
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Lille
50.0%
36
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 22
Lille
3-0
Le Havre
David (14', 44', 49')
Bentaleb (36'), Arnar Haraldsson (68')

Lloris (18'), Toure (65'), Operi (83')
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Le Havre
0-2
Lille
Zhegrova (40'), Salmier (52' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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