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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Strasbourg

Lille
3 - 3
Strasbourg

Zhegrova (15', 27'), David (84' pen.)
Andre (64'), Diakite (70')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Santos (30'), Emegha (42'), Nanasi (66')
Sow (7'), Senaya (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Strasbourg

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Angers
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Strasbourg

 While Lille's recent record paints a fairly grim picture, it is worth noting that three of their last four defeats have been against European opponents and PSG, and only the defeat to Les Parisiens was on their home patch. Strasbourg have looked impressive in attack this season, but we fancy the hosts to outscore them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawStrasbourg
56.19% (-0.29 -0.29) 22.71% (0.202 0.2) 21.1% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-0.547 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-0.785 -0.78)45.04% (0.78 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-0.758 -0.76)67.39% (0.752 0.75)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.371 -0.37)15.84% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.96% (-0.686 -0.69)45.03% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.6% (-0.367 -0.37)35.39% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.379 -0.38)72.16% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Lille 56.18%
    Strasbourg 21.1%
    Draw 22.7%
LilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 56.18%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.1%

How you voted: Lille vs Strasbourg

Lille
79.6%
Draw
14.3%
Strasbourg
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 30
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
David (12')
Alexsandro (23'), Fonseca (24'), Santos (90+5')

Sow (44'), Diarra (59'), Sylla (90+8')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Strasbourg
2-1
Lille
Yoro (41' og.), Mwanga (76')
Sylla (45')
Sylla (20' og.)
Andre (32'), Zhegrova (62')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Lille
2-0
Strasbourg
David (23' pen., 28')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille
David (41' pen., 76'), Cabella (80')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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